Thursday, 13 December 2012

Mubtadi at Wolverhampton

Mubtadi – Wolverhampton Dec 14

There really shouldn’t be any excuses from him there  He is off his lowest mark, over his best trip and the gelding operation has certainly made a difference.  They were the size of coconuts. He has loads of abilty and, even though he missed the break at Southwell, he ran well until not staying.
He looks well and he is fit despite having 50 days off since his last race. He has also been working well. 
The key will be the tactics. The hood (fitted first trme) will hopefully not just relax him during the race but also cure his habit of missing the break – something he has done the last twice.
There isn’t a lot of pace in the contest so the plan is for Shane to sit handy, but there isn’t an obvious pacemaker so I wouldn’t mind if he made the running. I’m convinced the hood will prevent him from being too keen.
We have the best handicapped horse in the race – he ran well off 80 in July – off a  rating of 62. He certainly didn't try very hard at Southwell but if the gelding has done the trick, the 14-1 offered by BET 365 is way overpriced.

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