Alhaarth Beauty –
Catterick
The key to this race is Alhaarth Beauty herself. When you
profile a race you start with the horse that you most expect to win. In this
case it’s Alhaarth Beauty.
Taking the positives first. Her form is the best on offer
even if the last run at Wolverhampton raised question marks over her temperament.
She should have won but her head came up in the air when she came
under pressure, even with the sheepskin noseband on.
It was her first race for four months (although she was fit enough) and her previous display against Space Artist (since a winner of a 0-80 handicap at Bath) would win
this. The return to grass will also help (she worked well on it last weekend) and
the rattling fast ground is ideal.
And, yet, it’s her work at home that clouds her chance. This
is no doubt if she reproduces her gallop form this would be a formality. Twice she
dismissed Light Burst (rated 84) , admittedly over 5f, without turning a hair. The concern is that her head
is nearly always low and straight in homework, suggesting she likes the solitude of home.
She could be a morning glory. We have changed a couple of
things and have also put on Tom Brown. He claims a valuable five pounds and hopefully
will be able to settle her in front on a track that is suited for speed. She
handled Goodwood ok so the contours shouldn’t be a problem.
You have to respect the chance of Shirley’s Pride who won on
her debut for Mick Appleby and looks to have improved and James Tate’s Free
Island has speed but is quirky. But, in truth, Alhaarth Beauty is a grade above
these if she deems to perform.
Tom will attempt to make all and, like Mubtadi, she won't be hit. It appears to a mental issue with her. Liam Jones didn't hit her last time but the head still came up. Today is certainly a defining moment for her.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Educate is fine after Newbury. The run
in context is perplexing. Haaf A
Sixpence had finished behind him at Doncaster with the benefit of two
runs. The ground wouldn’t have been a
problem but he ran no sort of race.
Ismail is keen to get another run into him and it looks
likely he will go to Lingfield on May 11. He will step back up to 10f, a trip
he won over at York, and he will be dropped completely out like he was when he
won that day on the Knavesmire.
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